Qasim Shah
All projects

When firms replace workers with AI

Competition and household-demand simulation

An illustrative market simulation connects firms’ automation decisions to competition, worker income, and demand in later years.

Status
Unpublished working study
Kind
Data & geometry
Stack
Python · Game theory · Economic modeling · Sensitivity analysis
Labelled project overview, not an interface capture.

The problem

A cost saving for one firm can look different once rivals respond and changes in household income feed back into demand.

What was built

  1. A model with three incumbent firms and a potential entrant choosing human staffing, partial automation, full replacement, or exit.
  2. Quantity competition and a lagged household-spending channel, with scenario and sensitivity comparisons.
  3. Checks of quantity best responses, unilateral technology changes, financial accounting, and the welfare ledger.

What I learned

The business case depends on rivals, demand, and the time horizon. Keeping those assumptions explicit makes a simulation useful without turning it into a forecast.